Red Wings Playoff Tracker 2024

[lordstanley]

2 hours ago, GoBlue23 said:

Devils lose

Capitals lose

Islanders gonna lose - Go Kings!!!

Isles did indeed lose. A good night. So the Wings are back in playoff positions by the narrowest of measures - the RegulationOvertimeWins tiebreaker over NYI. Both have 72 points with 18 games to go. Philly and Tampa have 74 points with 17 games to go. Washington has 69 points with 19 games to go. 

[1984Echoes]

Simple solution:

They need to win some games.

[1984Echoes]

You mean...

After getting their asses whupped game-after-game.

[lordstanley]

Panthers outshoot Tampa 50-16. And lose 5-3. Of course. 

Edited March 17, 2024 by lordstanley

[lordstanley]

Pittsburgh today, home to CBJ on Tuesday, home to NYI on Thursday.  Need to aim for a 3 for 3 on that to re-set the playoff race in the Wings' favor again heading into a tough 5-game road trip.

[lordstanley]

Buffalo won too. The Wings will still finish ahead of Montreal and Ottawa, right? Right?

[lordstanley]

Leafs suck. Even when they lose. To the Flyers.

[lordstanley]

Go Leafs Go! 🙃 🤮

Edited March 20, 2024 by lordstanley

[lordstanley]

So Wings are 1 up on Washington but the Caps still have a game in hand. Wings own tiebreaker with more ROWs. That’s about as much of a dead heat as can possibly be. 

Wings have 76 points with 26 remaining points (13 games) available. Will it take 17-18 points?

 

Edited March 21, 2024 by lordstanley

[lordstanley]

This seems like one of the most important nights in the playoff race so far. In addition to the Wings hosting NYI we have:

Flyers @ Carolina

Winnipeg @ Devils 

Sabres @ Edmonton  - 9pm ET

Lightning @ San Jose - 1030pm ET

[lordstanley]

23 hours ago, lordstanley said:

So Wings are 1 up on Washington but the Caps still have a game in hand. Wings own tiebreaker with more ROWs.
 

Correction: 1st tiebreaker is regulation wins. That's actually more fair, in my view, but works to the Wings' disadvantage. The Wings have more ROWs than most of the playoff bubble teams but fewer RWs than some. 

[lordstanley]

When you have bubble teams that have played at or slightly point per game pace, most are going to pick up 8-12 points every 10 games. We barely have more than 10 games left in the season. See the Strk column to the far right  

So time is really running out for Pitt, Buffalo and even Jersey. I don’t think any of them will reach 90 points, which to me is the bare minimum to even be in the conservation. I think the 8th place team will finish with 93 points, give or take a point or two.

- Buffalo at 71 points with 11 games to go would top out at 93 points if they win all 11, but even highly improbable 9-2 would only get them to 89

- Jersey at 72 points could top out at 96 if they won all 12 remaining, but even unlikely 8–3-1 would only get them to 89
- Pitt at 69 points could top out at 97 if they won all 14 remaining, but even a highly improbable 10-4 would only get them to 89

I also think Tampa is all but safe. To me, at this point it is 2 spots for Philly, Detroit, Washington, NYI. 
 

Edited March 22, 2024 by lordstanley

[lordstanley]

This game is all over the place. 5-5 Caps Canes with 8 minutes left in regulation.

[lordstanley]

Just now, GoBlue23 said:

Crap, Capitals get the second point in the shootout.   

Wild game, fun one to watch.  

Ironic that a 6-6 game takes into the 5th round to see a shootout goal.

[lordstanley]

Islanders outshooting Winnipeg 27-4. That may be as lopsided of a shots ratio that I can remember. Isles up 5-1. No help there. 

[buddha]

1 hour ago, lordstanley said:

Islanders outshooting Winnipeg 27-4. That may be as lopsided of a shots ratio that I can remember. Isles up 5-1. No help there. 

and philly beat boston.

think about that when we were getting blown out by arizona and buffalo.

[lordstanley]

Goodbye Tampa. Goodbye Pittsburgh. 

[lordstanley]

So with Tampa now pretty much locked in (they are closer to reeling in the Leafs than blowing a playoff spot), the two spots left are Metro #3 and Wildcard #2.  The opponent of Wildcard #2 would be whichever one of these four teams finishes highest:

- NYR, 98 pts, 11 games remaining (38 regulation wins) 

- Florida, 97 pts, 11 games remaining (38 regulation wins) 

- Carolina, 97 pts, 10 games remaining (37 regulation wins)

- Boston, 97 pts, 10 games remaining (32 regulation wins)

The President's Trophy is among those four teams plus Vancouver (98 pts, 11 games remaining, 39 regulation wins) and Colorado 97 pts, 11 games remaining, 38 regulation wins) and Dallas (97 points, 10 games remaining, 38 regulation wins).

Interesting that there is only 1 point separating the top 7 teams, but 23 points separating the bottom 5 teams.

Edited March 25, 2024 by lordstanley

[Motor City Sonics]

Wings have to win tonight.     This is it.   

[lordstanley]

4 hours ago, Motor City Sonics said:

Wings have to win tonight.     This is it.   

I don’t know what the odds sites say, but I would say that with a regulation win tonight I’d give the Wings a 45% chance of making the playoffs. 20% with a regulation loss. 

[Shinzaki]

I think it will come down to us or Philly

[Hongbit]

The East has been viewed as the harder conference to make the playoffs in recent years.  The Wings would be 7 points out of the last spot if they were still in the West.   

[lordstanley]

On 3/28/2024 at 12:43 PM, Hongbit said:

The East has been viewed as the harder conference to make the playoffs in recent years.  The Wings would be 7 points out of the last spot if they were still in the West.   

Yes, it's been something of a turtle race in the East. Of Philadelphia, Washington, Detroit, NYI, NJ, Buffalo and Pittsburgh, only Washington (with 12 pts) is playing than a point per game pace the past 10 games.  Philly is 3-5-2. NYI and Detroit are 3-6-1. Buffalo and Jersey are 5-5. Pittsburgh is 4-4-2.  

[lordstanley]

Bonus! Hawks beat Philly 5-1. 
Caps with at least a point though as heading to OT vs Boston. 

[Hongbit]

8 games to go and I think they are going to make it in.  

The big ones are Caps at LCA and a home and home with the Habs to end the season.   They need minimum 5 points from those and probably all 6 to be safe.    I think both Philly and Washington are going to feel the pressure and won’t finish strong.