4hzglory Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Magic number to finish ahead of Twins is now 10 Magic number vs Royals is 12 Magic number to finish ahead of Orioles is 14 🤪 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
papalawrence Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Time to break out my alphorn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JackMorrisStache Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 Ok…. Realistically speaking, I think it is plausible that we take 2 of 3 from the O’s and Rays, then finish up with the sweep of the MLB doormat Sox for a 7-2 finish. With the Twins facing the O’s, BoSox and Marlins, I think 7-2 would get it done, although we may as well simply Win. Every. Game. just to be safe. Looking deeper, the Orioles *could* be in big trouble with series against us, the Yanks and Twins to close out the season. It’s going to be one heckuva 1.5 weeks. Go Tigers! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IdahoBert Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 It just amazes me that this team was 55–63 and now it’s 80–73. And the goal that we originally had in mind was 81 wins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gehringer_2 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 30 minutes ago, JackMorrisStache said: Ok…. Realistically speaking, I think it is plausible that we take 2 of 3 from the O’s and Rays, then finish up with the sweep of the MLB doormat Sox for a 7-2 finish. With the Twins facing the O’s, BoSox and Marlins, I think 7-2 would get it done, although we may as well simply Win. Every. Game. just to be safe. Looking deeper, the Orioles *could* be in big trouble with series against us, the Yanks and Twins to close out the season. It’s going to be one heckuva 1.5 weeks. Go Tigers! I like that the Orioles have pretty much lost any chance of catching the Yankees for 1st place. That's the kind of thing that can take the wind out of a team's sails. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sports_Freak Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 I remember the "good old days" when Tiger excitement was so high that we had to have special off day threads...good times. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edman85 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 5 hours ago, oblong said: The problem with chasing Baltimore is that they play Minnesota for the final 3 games. So you need to build up a decent enough lead over MN, in just the next 6 games, to soften the cushion to balance out their wins against Baltimore. You'd need to not only win and have them lose but the right combination of those wins/losses... or else MN gets that spot and not us. You aren't wrong that the Minnesota/Baltimore series complicates matters, but it is true that any loss by Baltimore, Kansas City, Minnesota, or Seattle helps the Tigers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monkeytargets39 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 (edited) Depending on how these three games against Baltimore go, I’d wonder if they’d run Skubal on short rest so he pitches vs the Rays and Sox. Would have to see what the wildcard schedule would be if Skubal would get 4 days rest before the series would start. Despite the rotation schedule and opponents, I’d rather not run Mize out there more than once in the next 9 games. If you can get 2 each from Skubal, Olson and Montero and then a piggyback start from Madden/Hurter and a start from Mize, that’d be ideal with how it’s been going lately. Edited September 19 by monkeytargets39 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasfh Posted September 19 Author Share Posted September 19 1 hour ago, IdahoBert said: It just amazes me that this team was 55–63 and now it’s 80–73. And the goal that we originally had in mind was 81 wins. I’ve been predicting 84 wins all year. I was gonna be happy with that. Now, maybe not so much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasfh Posted September 19 Author Share Posted September 19 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gehringer_2 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 14 minutes ago, chasfh said: I’ve been predicting 84 wins all year. I was gonna be happy with that. Now, maybe not so much. 85 might do it. More likely 86 though. 6 of 9 requires them to stay on the their current high for another 10 days. I think they can drop one game each series and still have a decent chance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gehringer_2 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 (edited) 24 minutes ago, chasfh said: ESPN has them at 42%. TBH, if I were a bettor, I would rate the odds of the Tigers winning one more game of the last 9 than the Twins as better than 50% based on their current lineups. Edited September 19 by gehringer_2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monkeytargets39 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 I assume those odds are strictly based on the numbers and have nothing to do with team health, recent performance or upcoming schedules…. The Royals are not anywhere close to safe right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerNation Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 35 minutes ago, monkeytargets39 said: Depending on how these three games against Baltimore go, I’d wonder if they’d run Skubal on short rest so he pitches vs the Rays and Sox. Would have to see what the wildcard schedule would be if Skubal would get 4 days rest before the series would start. Despite the rotation schedule and opponents, I’d rather not run Mize out there more than once in the next 9 games. If you can get 2 each from Skubal, Olson and Montero and then a piggyback start from Madden/Hurter and a start from Mize, that’d be ideal with how it’s been going lately. We have an off day before and after the series with Baltimore. So we can bump Skubal to the first Rays game and he can pitch two more or normal rest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiger337 Posted September 19 Share Posted September 19 5 minutes ago, monkeytargets39 said: I assume those odds are strictly based on the numbers and have nothing to do with team health, recent performance or upcoming schedules…. The Royals are not anywhere close to safe right now. I think playoff odds are pretty much useless at this point in the season. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monkeytargets39 Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 15 minutes ago, TigerNation said: We have an off day before and after the series with Baltimore. So we can bump Skubal to the first Rays game and he can pitch two more or normal rest. Yeah they could do that….as long as he’s good to go for game 1 of the wildcard round. Hopefully we don’t need him to pitch in that last Sox game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monkeytargets39 Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 16 minutes ago, Tiger337 said: I think playoff odds are pretty much useless at this point in the season. Any team still having to play the ChiSox should get like a 20% boost to their odds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandyMarsh Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 Preferably I'd want him ready for game 1 but it wouldn't be the end of the world if its not till game 2 since he'd only be pitching 1 game in the series either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
casimir Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 4 hours ago, chasfh said: As if to prove the dictum that fans believe that baseball was at its best when they were 11 years old, I love the A’s green and gold uniforms, but I don’t like it when anyone else wears colored jerseys. Grump fart. I think some of the other colored tops look good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
casimir Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 40 minutes ago, Tiger337 said: I think playoff odds are pretty much useless at this point in the season. That’s probably true for teams in a virtual tie or a game or two away from each other. I think at this point it can be useful to look at the history (past week, past month) to see how the game results have affected things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
casimir Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 I’ll be no fun. They aren’t in a tie. The Twins hold the tiebreaker. Therefore, the Twins are ahead of the Tigers by tiebreaker. If the season were to end, that’s the things would shake out. There’s still 9 games at hand. This race hasn’t been linear and may not be linear going forward. Keep that in mind. As long as at the end of the season the playoff invite goes to the Tigers, it won’t matter if they lose a game or two in Baltimore. And when they do clinch, let’s all gather in @Jim Cowan‘s yard and party like rock stars. I’ll bring some Moosehead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
casimir Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 52 minutes ago, TigerNation said: We have an off day before and after the series with Baltimore. So we can bump Skubal to the first Rays game and he can pitch two more or normal rest. Oh crud, that’s right. For some reason I thought I counted Skubal as the last game starter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiger337 Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 5 minutes ago, casimir said: That’s probably true for teams in a virtual tie or a game or two away from each other. I think at this point it can be useful to look at the history (past week, past month) to see how the game results have affected things. In a nine game stretch, any team, regardless of how well or how poorly they have been playing could get hot for few games and go into a little slump. It happens all the time. But when your team has a shot, you just hope they stay hot and enjoy one game at a time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shelton Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 Just now, Tiger337 said: In a nine game stretch, any team, regardless of how well or how poorly they have been playing could get hot for few games and go into a little slump. It happens all the time. But when your team has a shot, you just hope they stay hot and enjoy one game at a time. It doesn’t happen all the time. It happens some of the time. For instance, some percentage of the time. Almost like a probability. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
casimir Posted September 20 Share Posted September 20 1 minute ago, Tiger337 said: In a nine game stretch, any team, regardless of how well or how poorly they have been playing could get hot for few games and go into a little slump. It happens all the time. But when your team has a shot, you just hope they stay hot and enjoy one game at a time. Yup. I would say any team could reasonably achieve a record of 3-6 through 6-3. I can’t remember any Tiger season like this. This has been simply incredible. At the beginning of the month, a majority of us probably just wanted the chase to go on for as long as possible, playoffs or not. But now the playoffs are right there, and I think there’s a bit of expectation now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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