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Posted
4 minutes ago, RandyMarsh said:

RE: Bregman, here's his statcast page, nothing jumps out in terms of getting unlucky. His expected numbers based on contact are a little higher than his actual numbers but nothing crazy. Also of note as somebody else brought up in this thread, if you look at his expected HR numbers by park he definitely would be hit hard by going to Comerica. 

Last year he hit 26 homers but if he played all his games in Comerica that number would drop to 21. Also the hit would be even worse in Cleveland with 18 and KC with 20. OTOH he would profile well in Chicago where the number would be 32 and also in MInnesota with 29. 

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/alex-bregman-608324?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb

What jumps out is his walk rate was cut in half.  That seems like something that he could reverse.  However, it's also pretty rare and I'd like to know the resons behind it.

  

Posted
1 minute ago, Tiger337 said:

What jumps out is his walk rate was cut in half.  That seems like something that he could reverse.  However, it's also pretty rare and I'd like to know the resons behind it.

  

exactly. K rate up some but not that much - contact rate and power seem OK. I suppose something like if the OPS of the hitters behind him last season was higher than in the past that would be some explanation, but you'd want some reasonable explanation before shelling out the $$

Posted
12 minutes ago, Tiger337 said:

What jumps out is his walk rate was cut in half.  That seems like something that he could reverse.  However, it's also pretty rare and I'd like to know the resons behind it.

  

Just a thought but I wonder with it being a contract year if he was pressing to put up more counting stats? Also the Astros as a whole were worse on offense than in years past with their walk rate being down .70 walks per 9 so maybe something changed in the team's approach? 

  • Like 1
Posted
3 minutes ago, RandyMarsh said:

Just a thought but I wonder with it being a contract year if he was pressing to put up more counting stats? Also the Astros as a whole were worse on offense than in years past with their walk rate being down .70 walks per 9 so maybe something changed in the team's approach? 

The bolded part could definitely explain part of it.  As Gehringer said, it could have been line-up construction.  Perhaps, he felt a need to swing more because the guys hitting around him were not going to drive runners home.   

Posted
1 minute ago, Edman85 said:

McKinstry got 1.65M

Not a lot, but I thought he would have been pinched next year with Wenceel, Sweeney/Baez, Vierling and Ibanez already with bench spots, before making any offseason additions.

Again, the amount doesn’t necessarily commit them to carrying him next season.

Posted (edited)
52 minutes ago, RatkoVarda said:

until Baez comes back, McKinstry is the back up SS at least; we shall see if he survives all season; AJ loves moving people around and needs McKinstry and Vierling to do that

yup - I'm sure that's also the biggest reason they don't want to park Vierling at 3rd. He's not a great defender there but I believe he'd still be an overall plus player there but they want those IF/OF swing guys.

Edited by gehringer_2
Posted
3 minutes ago, monkeytargets39 said:

I’m not a big McKinstry fan, but he does fit in excellently with what Hinch tries to do with platooning, pinch hitting, and defensive subs.  So I’m good with it.

I'd put it this way - he's about as good a player as you will find to do what Hinch wants someone to do. If he were very much better he could nail down a starting gig somewhere.

Posted
7 hours ago, Tiger337 said:

What jumps out is his walk rate was cut in half.  That seems like something that he could reverse.  However, it's also pretty rare and I'd like to know the resons behind it.

  

Just guessing, but I wonder if he got swing happy or lost some of his plate discipline after his slow start this season?

Posted
Just now, gehringer_2 said:

The bloom had faded on Wilmer's rose.

Nah, he's just injured and can't be outrighted. Either he'll be quickly re-signed or his shoulder is completely shot.

Posted
11 hours ago, RatkoVarda said:

Harris is probably looking at Hays or Dylan Carlson for a RH OF to complement Carpenter

Possibly, but it doesn't really help them offensively.  Mixing and matching Vierling and Malloy into the line-up seems just as good.   

  • Like 1
Posted (edited)
16 minutes ago, Tiger337 said:

Possibly, but it doesn't really help them offensively.  Mixing and matching Vierling and Malloy into the line-up seems just as good.   

I still have close to zero confidence that Malloy can stick. July->August->Sept he was worse each month which often as not says a guy is not adjusting as pitchers work his weaknesses. He did flash a little in the playoffs though.

Edited by gehringer_2

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