2022 Michigan Elections

[Mr.TaterSalad]

Let's fucking go Democrats and Independents/Republicans who now vote Democrat! Let's fucking win some elections and protect our democracy tomorrow!

[ewsieg]

4 hours ago, oblong said:

My comment was directed towards the national elections not MIchigan. I think all 3 proposals pass and our 3 gals win easily. 

My money would be on the big races in Michigan all going dem (all 4 girls).  That said, I wouldn't be surprised if Whitmer and Slotkin lost.  For Dixon to be this close with so much less funding is why I think nationally it will be a bad day for Dems.

 

[mtutiger]

7 hours ago, ewsieg said:

My money would be on the big races in Michigan all going dem (all 4 girls).  That said, I wouldn't be surprised if Whitmer and Slotkin lost.  For Dixon to be this close with so much less funding is why I think nationally it will be a bad day for Dems.

 

I haven't been following Michigan closely, but my prior would be that Whitmer is gonna outrun most of the rest of the D ticket. 

So if she loses, they all lose IMO.

Definitely can see Slotkin losing, although that's a house race and independent of state races.

Edited November 8, 2022 by mtutiger

[ewsieg]

2 hours ago, mtutiger said:

I haven't been following Michigan closely, but my prior would be that Whitmer is gonna outrun most of the rest of the D ticket. 

So if she loses, they all lose IMO.

Definitely can see Slotkin losing, although that's a house race and independent of state races.

That Slotkin one has had a national following which is why I included it.  A few months ago I would have said the same about Whitmer.  I don't know if it's by design, but Dixon has separated herself from the other GOP candidates.

[romad1]

3 minutes ago, ewsieg said:

That Slotkin one has had a national following which is why I included it.  A few months ago I would have said the same about Whitmer.  I don't know if it's by design, but Dixon has separated herself from the other GOP candidates.

She's more comfortable with people from her native illinois

[Motown Bombers]

Seems more like wishcasting. Whitmer has yet to trail in a single poll, even the ones conducted by Republicans. 

[ewsieg]

13 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

Seems more like wishcasting. Whitmer has yet to trail in a single poll, even the ones conducted by Republicans. 

In the last week, several polls have been within the margin of error.  Two months ago you couldn't find a poll that wasn't a double digit lead for Whitmer even counting the margin of error.  I'm not sure how that is wishcasting.

[Motown Bombers]

1 minute ago, ewsieg said:

In the last week, several polls have been within the margin of error.  Two months ago you couldn't find a poll that wasn't a double digit lead for Whitmer even counting the margin of error.  I'm not sure how that is wishcasting.

They are almost all Republican funded polls that have the lead within the margin of error. Recent polls like Detroit News and EPIC have her at double digits. 

[romad1]

4 minutes ago, ewsieg said:

In the last week, several polls have been within the margin of error.  Two months ago you couldn't find a poll that wasn't a double digit lead for Whitmer even counting the margin of error.  I'm not sure how that is wishcasting.

Trust Epic MRA and few other polls for Michigan.    that's the gold standard in the state.  

[mtutiger]

18 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

Seems more like wishcasting. Whitmer has yet to trail in a single poll, even the ones conducted by Republicans. 

She was down by a fraction of a percent in a Trafalger poll this AM.... but it's Trafalger, and they did overestimate Trump last cycle in MI

[Motown Bombers]

I'm looking at RCP in 2018 and 2020 and can't help but notice how many more partisan Republican polls there are in 2022. Whitmer could lose, but this flooding of GOP funded polls seems coordinated. 

[Motown Bombers]

This seals it.

 

[chasfh]

12 hours ago, romad1 said:

They did the thing again

 

Who says government can't be sexy?

[romad1]

6 minutes ago, chasfh said:

Who says government can't be sexy?

My wife was in Law School with Dana.  I do not recall her from those parties i attended.   She might have been wearing flannel shirts and working on project boat back then.  

[Motown Bombers]

Whitmer and Nessel are both over 50 and their faces don't look like they are molded silly putty like Melania and Kimberly Guilfoyle. 

[Motown Bombers]

If I get interviewed while waiting to vote, I'm going to tell them I'm an undecided voter. I'm leaning towards Dixon because I'm concerned of kids identifying as cats and hissing at each other. 

[romad1]

34 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

This seals it.

 

This is the Barry county that employs Sherriff Dar Thorshammer Rotterdammerung Wodinbesprake SiegHeil 88 Klu Klux Klan Leif?  

[Motown Bombers]

People are weird.

 

[RatkoVarda]

 

[Motown Bombers]

Michigan becoming a progressive state. Democrats seemed poised to repeal right to work as well. 

[RatkoVarda]

yes please

 

[gehringer_2]

30 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

Michigan becoming a progressive state. Democrats seemed poised to repeal right to work as well. 

The solidification of Dems at the state level in MI, PA, MN is a signficant trend. Rightward dirft in national politics doesn't reverse at least until the dems show they can re-establish their primacy in states that should be moderate/democratic by history and temperment. Just need to figure out WTF is wrong with WI.

Edited November 10, 2022 by gehringer_2

[Motown Bombers]

 

[ben9753]

3 hours ago, gehringer_2 said:

The solidification of Dems at the state level in MI, PA, MN is a signficant trend. Rightward dirft in national politics doesn't reverse at least until the dems show they can re-establish their primacy in states that should be moderate/democratic by history and temperment. Just need to figure out WTF is wrong with WI.

And Ohio

[Motown Bombers]