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Posted
2 hours ago, Deleterious said:

Oh yeah.  We knew it was going to happen.  But officially clinching a playoff berth….

Could’ve swore I had this in the season predictions thread.

Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, Deleterious said:

This game and Monday's are on NBATV.

I hope they don’t constantly call him Motor Cade like the losers at ESPN.  

Edited by Hongbit
Posted

The rebounding was an issue.  But they lost this game with poor shooting.  You lose a lot of games shooting 38% from the field and 26% from three.  Shoot your averages and this is a win.

Posted
31 minutes ago, Deleterious said:

The rebounding was an issue.  But they lost this game with poor shooting.  You lose a lot of games shooting 38% from the field and 26% from three.  Shoot your averages and this is a win.

Bane and being outrebounded (which limited their ability to run) kind of killed them, too.

But, Cunningham was working through rust.  He, Beasley, and Hardaway struggled with shooting.

I'm going to need to start wearing a football helmet watching Reed play.  The only 3 point shot he should attempt is at the end of the clock.

Posted

It didn't limit their ability run at all.  They average 45 defensive rebounds per game and had 44 last night, plus Memphis committed 15 TO's and that is what teams usually commit against Detroit.  They had every opportunity to run last night.

Being out rebounded hurt them by giving up 2nd chance points.  23 is high since Detroit usually gives up just over 14 second chance points per game.  But even giving up all of those 2nd chance points they only lost by 6.

If they shoot their normal averages of 47/36 on the same amount of shots as last night, they score an extra 18 points and win by 12.

 

Posted
58 minutes ago, Deleterious said:

It didn't limit their ability run at all.  They average 45 defensive rebounds per game and had 44 last night, plus Memphis committed 15 TO's and that is what teams usually commit against Detroit.  They had every opportunity to run last night.

Being out rebounded hurt them by giving up 2nd chance points.  23 is high since Detroit usually gives up just over 14 second chance points per game.  But even giving up all of those 2nd chance points they only lost by 6.

If they shoot their normal averages of 47/36 on the same amount of shots as last night, they score an extra 18 points and win by 12.

 

That's fair.  Their 3pt shooting was awful, no question.  I'm looking at the rebound discrepancy (60% to 40%), and if that's a bit more even, there's a few more runouts that they could have which, given the smaller lineups that the Pistons had during the majority of the game, should have lent itself to more more running opportunities.  On the year the Pistons outrebound their opponent 45.1 to 42.5, this game included.

I guess since the game came down to the end, if the rebound a bit better or shoot a bit better (or both), the outcome is likely towards Detroit's favor.  Maybe front line minutes going to Reed rather than Duren and overall minutes going to Sasser rather than Harris explain last night's aberrations a bit.

  • Like 1
Posted

The tiebreakers against Milwaukee in order:

  1. Head to head - Currently 0-2 in favor of Milwaukee.  Best we can do here is make it 2-2 and move to the 2nd tiebreaker.  Milwaukee obviously can still win this tiebreaker.
  2. Division leader - Useless since we are in the same division and would be tied.
  3. Division win-loss percentage - Neither team plays another division game except the 2 against each other.  Current records are Detroit 5-9 and Milwaukee 7-7.  Best we can do again is tie it and move to the 4th tiebreaker.  Milwaukee can still win this tiebreaker.
  4. Conference won-loss percentage - Including the 2 against Milwaukee, we have 1 more conference game (NYK).  Milwaukee just has the 2 against us.  Current records are Detroit: 28-21.  Milwaukee 29-20.  Both teams can still win this.  Milwaukee has an extra conference game because they played Atlanta in the semi-finals of the in season tournament.  I don't know if that game counts or not for determining tiebreakers.  If yes, they can't tie and no other tiebreakers are needed.
  5. Better win% against playoff teams in own conference - No clue what the numbers are here.
  6. Better win% against playoff teams in the western conference - No clue what the numbers are here.

 

 

Posted

in other words, it all comes down to those last two games.

however, milwaukee still has two games against new orleans, and that team is actively trying to lose.

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