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Posted

Play-In schedule.  Tuesday has the 7/8 from each conference play each other.  Wednesday is the 9/10 playing each other.

Tuesday:

Hawks vs Orlando

Memphis vs Golden State

Winners of those two games advance as 7 seeds.  Loser gets one more game on Friday.

Wednesday:

Miami vs. Chicago

Dallas vs Sacramento

Loser is eliminated.  Winner plays on Friday.

Friday:

Wed winner vs Tuesday loser for both conferences.  Winner is the 8th seed

 

 

 

Posted

miami is not a good team anymore.  i hope they can beat the bulls but i dont expect it.  so much of their offense is watching tyler herro jack up shots now.  no more playoff jimmy.

Posted
  On 4/17/2025 at 12:34 AM, Hongbit said:

I’m not sure you’ll ever see a team play worse defense in a big game than what the Bulls are doing now.  Embarrassingly bad.

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that's the way they've played defense all season.  they just outscored bad teams down the stretch.

Posted

I still don’t understand the philosophy of consistently doubling to contest a two pointer to give up a wide open three.    Even more now I the playoffs when the refs will swallow a whistle in the paint.  

Posted
  On 4/17/2025 at 1:01 AM, Hongbit said:

I still don’t understand the philosophy of consistently doubling to contest a two pointer to give up a wide open three.    Even more now I the playoffs when the refs will swallow a whistle in the paint.  

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Numbers.

If a big is going off in the post and shooting 60% from that spot, you can send help off any shooter that shoots below 40% from three.   Even a bit higher when you figure in the odds of the big turning it over when he tries to kick it out. 

 

Posted
  On 4/17/2025 at 1:14 AM, Hongbit said:

I wonder what the percentages look like for a quality shooter when they take a completely uncontested three from a favorable angle. 

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No defender within 6 feet on a 3PTA:

Herro 47%

Bam 39.5%

Wiggins 37.5%

Rozier 35%

Robinson 43%

Burks 43.5%

  • Thanks 1
Posted
  On 4/17/2025 at 1:18 AM, Deleterious said:

No defender within 6 feet on a 3PTA:

Herro 47%

Bam 39.5%

Wiggins 37.5%

Rozier 35%

Robinson 43%

Burks 43.5%

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The numbers say it’s definitely easier to score a two in the paint than a wide open three.    I wonder how the math translates regarding points since the uncontested 3 is worth more.   

Posted
  On 4/17/2025 at 1:26 AM, Hongbit said:

The numbers say it’s definitely easier to score a two in the paint than a wide open three.    I wonder how the math translates regarding points since the uncontested 3 is worth more.   

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Well at 47% Herro is scoring 1.41 points per wide open 3PT shot.

Someone in the post would have to shoot 71% to beat that.

That is the simple answer.  Post players would get a slight bump because they get more and1's.  They also get the other team in foul trouble more.  You also have to account for the big passing out and possibly turning it over.  All that is above my pay grade.  But i imagine all teams have people that know those numbers. 

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