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Cleanup in Aisle Lunatic (h/t romad1)


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Just now, mtutiger said:

I wouldn't entirely trust the exit polls, tbh.

I don't either, but in a state that Biden won by 10, either Biden voters sat this one out or there was a huge swing over to Youngkin or a combination of both. 

I'm just so sick of Democrats not showing up, then all hell breaks loose, and they come out only to snooze again. 

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2 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

I wonder if Va will scare the Dem Congressional caucus in DC into cooperating a little better? Probably not.

Probably not.

I am curious to see what kinda swings we see in New Jersey now... does Murphy do a little better than McCauliffe relative to the states lean?

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1 minute ago, Motown Bombers said:

I don't either, but in a state that Biden won by 10, either Biden voters sat this one out or there was a huge swing over to Youngkin or a combination of both. 

I'm just so sick of Democrats not showing up, then all hell breaks loose, and they come out only to snooze again. 

It was mostly persuasion. The fact that the swing was largely uniform in all parts of the state kinda has me convinced on that 

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5 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

The New Jersey race is not looking good. Still a likely Democratic win but not a big win. 

The lead will widen out some from where it is at the moment.

They are two different races, and its flawed, but I am curious to see a comparison to tell how much of what happened in VA was national environment and how much was candidate quality.

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2 minutes ago, mtutiger said:

The lead will widen out some from where it is at the moment.

They are two different races, and its flawed, but I am curious to see a comparison to tell how much of what happened in VA was national environment and how much was candidate quality.

538 is predicting high single digits when Biden won the state by 16. It's certainly doesn't seem like a dominating win. 

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5 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

538 is predicting high single digits when Biden won the state by 16. It's certainly doesn't seem like a dominating win. 

Right, but that would be a smaller swing than what happened in Virginia over 2020. 

Again, it's an imperfect comparison to qualify how much candidate quality may have impacted Virginia. 

Edited by mtutiger
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