The 2022 Midterm Elections

[mtutiger]

15 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said:

 

It's hard to put into too much context without knowing what turnout is like in other parts of the Commonwealth, but Philly showing up and voting at similar to 2018 levels is important. But have to see if it continues into the day

[Motown Bombers]

I'm also not buying that only Republicans will be voting on election day. Republicans will win the election day vote but I think more Democrats are voting election day than they did in 2020. 

[mtutiger]

2 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

I'm also not buying that only Republicans will be voting on election day. Republicans will win the election day vote but I think more Democrats are voting election day than they did in 2020. 

That's definitely true in Philadelphia, which is gonna be an 80-20 type breakdown. It wasn't gonna all be mail ballots there.

[1984Echoes]

Wasn't certain I put this in the correct location...

 

 

Whatcha think...?

 

 

 

 

 

Edited November 8, 2022 by 1984Echoes

[Mr.TaterSalad]

 

[1984Echoes]

The should have registered beforehand...

Better late than never I guess...

And... it's not late if they get their vote in today.

So potentially... moot point. Keep it coming kids...

[Motown Bombers]

Apparently it's snowing in Nevada. Could suppress turnout. 

[mtutiger]

7 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said:

 

One part of 2020 that feels underdiscussed is how college campuses are back in session in person for the most part... wonder how that affects turnout in college communities.

[romad1]

10 minutes ago, mtutiger said:

One part of 2020 that feels underdiscussed is how college campuses are back in session in person for the most part... wonder how that affects turnout in college communities.

The outreach I noted above has been aggressive.  My son has no end to free candy from those trying to get him to vote. 

[romad1]

Usually a good understander of election things

Wexton losing to Huang Cao or whatever his name is would be weird.  I saw so many ads for him though. 

[Mr.TaterSalad]

30 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

Apparently it's snowing in Nevada. Could suppress turnout. 

I suppose it's a good thing that dems have those early votes banked that they do.

[Motown Bombers]

21 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said:

I suppose it's a good thing that dems have those early votes banked that they do.

It's also raining heavily in Orange County where there are some swing districts. It's weird how Republicans turned against banking votes but they seemed to have learned they can't win when more people vote.

[CMRivdogs]

Especially with an aging population/base. Seniors don't particularly like to stand in line. Especially when you can stop on your way home from lunch/shopping/doctor visits etc.

Who wants to make a special trip to the local school/church/community center on a Tuesday?

[CMRivdogs]

Where did I put my conspiracy cap?

[Mr.TaterSalad]

Well fuck . . .

 

[CMRivdogs]

I think the Virginia turnout is fueled by a combination of election fatigue...three "major elections in three years" and a number of Congressional districts where there is only one question on the ballot and the makeup of the district leaves it where there is no contest to speak of.

There are only two districts in the state where there is likely to be a close contest. Three years of political ads can wear a person out if they're not political

[Mr.TaterSalad]

My concern is Wasserman seems to be projecting bad turnout nationally for Dems based on Florida and Virginia.

[romad1]

5 minutes ago, CMRivdogs said:

I think the Virginia turnout is fueled by a combination of election fatigue...three "major elections in three years" and a number of Congressional districts where there is only one question on the ballot and the makeup of the district leaves it where there is no contest to speak of.

There are only two districts in the state where there is likely to be a close contest. Three years of political ads can wear a person out if they're not political

Yeah only having one candidate on my ballot was a bit of a wet fart. 

[mtutiger]

6 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said:

My concern is Wasserman seems to be projecting bad turnout nationally for Dems based on Florida and Virginia.

I'm not sure Florida is a great state to extrapolate nationally to in this cycle.

[Motown Bombers]

6 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said:

My concern is Wasserman seems to be projecting bad turnout nationally for Dems based on Florida and Virginia.

Already expected Florida to be bad.

[Tigerbomb13]

[CMRivdogs]

6 minutes ago, romad1 said:

Yeah only having one candidate on my ballot was a bit of a wet fart. 

You're in the tenth, right?

[Motown Bombers]

All the Democratic voters in Virginia are being bussed to Philadelphia and all the Democratic voters in Florida are being bussed to Atlanta. 

[romad1]

2 minutes ago, CMRivdogs said:

You're in the tenth, right?

It was Gerry Connolly so I guess he's likely home and dry 

[Motown Bombers]