Mr.TaterSalad Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said: Not sure which is why I'm framing it as if it holds up. I just don't see how Johnson can win with that kind of turnout. Ben Winkler, Wisconsin Dems Party Chair, tweeted this out . . . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtutiger Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 The Dane numbers (if coupled with high turnout in Milwaukee) are a necessity, but I don't know if it's enough based on how the rest of the state votes / how turnout is. Similar question as Pennsylvania, but Wisconsin was also much closer in 2020. Right now, Nevada seems pretty shaky, Ralston's winning streak might be up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motown Bombers Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 In 2018 Scott Walker lost re-election and Baldwin won by double digits. I don't know how Johnson wins if young vote, black vote, and female vote all turnout at those numbers unless there is also a crazy high turnout in white boomer vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.TaterSalad Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, mtutiger said: The Dane numbers (if coupled with high turnout in Milwaukee) are a necessity, but I don't know if it's enough based on how the rest of the state votes / how turnout is. Similar question as Pennsylvania, but Wisconsin was also much closer in 2020. Right now, Nevada seems pretty shaky, Ralston's winning streak might be up. Is there any early reasoning as to why this is? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtutiger Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said: Is there any early reasoning as to why this is? E Day vote margin not where it needs to be for Dems, as far as I can tell Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motown Bombers Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said: Is there any early reasoning as to why this is? Election day turnout hasn't been great in Nevada for Democrats. The funny thing is everyone went and flipped Pennsylvania to Oz since Ralston called Nevada for CCM just so they could have Dems lose the senate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edman85 Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 All this turnout extrapolation is meaningless and should probably be ignored. Just like early voting demographics. Just wait til polls close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1984Echoes Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Motown Bombers said: Seeing SOOO many signs that people actually care about democracy again... There may be hope yet for this country... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motown Bombers Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Got back from voting. Good turnout it seems. A few Muslims, which is not unusual for this precinct, a couple blacks and some youngish women. The woman ahead of me was under 21 as I could tell by her ID. Woman behind me looked late 20's with another one who looked 30's and appeared to be with their mother. Outside as I was leaving, they were hugging as if they had just done something memorable. Looked kind of too old to be first time voting so probably voting yes on the abortion proposal. There was a white guy who looked Gen X about late 40's with sunglasses and a goatee. Looked like a real douchebag so he was the only one I could peg as a true Republican. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gehringer_2 Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said: Got back from voting. Good turnout it seems. A few Muslims, which is not unusual for this precinct, a couple blacks and some youngish women. The woman ahead of me was under 21 as I could tell by her ID. Woman behind me looked late 20's with another one who looked 30's and appeared to be with their mother. Outside as I was leaving, they were hugging as if they had just done something memorable. Looked kind of too old to be first time voting so probably voting yes on the abortion proposal. There was a white guy who looked Gen X about late 40's with sunglasses and a goatee. Looked like a real douchebag so he was the only one I could peg as a true Republican. If I kept barbiturates in the house I'd be tempted to knock myself out until tomorrow morning and just skip watching returns.....🛌 Edited November 8, 2022 by gehringer_2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motown Bombers Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 I'm on team Kornacki. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motown Bombers Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Not sure the reliability but this would be good news. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motown Bombers Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.TaterSalad Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Speaking of Pennsylvania . . . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1984Echoes Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 4 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said: Speaking of Pennsylvania . . . "Republican fascism, violence & lying/ cheating" was not one of the options? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motown Bombers Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gehringer_2 Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Heard Harbaugh's anti prop 3 radio spot today. He's certainly has the right to believe what he wants but it just goes to show what a tenuous graft the modern major college athletic department is onto its parent University. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.TaterSalad Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 6 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said: Heard Harbaugh's anti prop 3 radio spot today. He's certainly has the right to believe what he wants but it just goes to show what a tenuous graft the modern major college athletic department is onto its parent University. Looks like the student body sees differently then Jim as evidenced by the 3 and 4 hour waits to vote. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oblong Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Help me out with tweets later by giving context. Like if someone is doing better or worse than expected. I can’t keep track of all the districts. I won’t know if “CA-03” is a red or blue district. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.TaterSalad Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Let's Go Blue! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr.TaterSalad Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 (edited) At the Redford Township precinct I'm at as an Election Challenger there were 612 total votes in 2020 between absentee and election day votes. We're at 689 now with another 25 or so people still in line. Edited November 8, 2022 by Mr.TaterSalad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gehringer_2 Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 2 hours ago, Edman85 said: All this turnout extrapolation is meaningless and should probably be ignored. Just like early voting demographics. Just wait til polls close. Yup - Acceptance of early voting as the 'normal' thing to do is growing so rapidly with each election that no-one has half a clue who is doing what. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motown Bombers Posted November 8, 2022 Share Posted November 8, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasfh Posted November 9, 2022 Author Share Posted November 9, 2022 2 hours ago, Motown Bombers said: In 2018 Scott Walker lost re-election and Baldwin won by double digits. I don't know how Johnson wins if young vote, black vote, and female vote all turnout at those numbers unless there is also a crazy high turnout in white boomer vote. Oh? You don't? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Motor City Sonics Posted November 9, 2022 Share Posted November 9, 2022 19 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said: Let's Go Blue! In every way possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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