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2024 Presidential Election thread


pfife

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6 minutes ago, mtutiger said:

Whether he gets out or not, they need to make sure they don't let Trump off the hook... He endorsed, called him "MLK on steroids" with his campaign knowing full well that this guy had big skeletons in his closet.

What are you talking about, Trump has never heard of Mike Robertson. 

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29 minutes ago, Edman85 said:

Morning consult has a D lean. Cherry picking can distort.

Settling aside lean (IDK, I can buy there being a semi close race for this seat, Cruz is that polarizing), biggest issue is vote share... The Presidential race found 50-46 Trump, this poll found a 46-45 Allred result.

More undecideds, and you cannot assume they are all splitting evenly

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1 minute ago, Motown Bombers said:

One poll in September of 2018 had Beto up 3. Why is the poll horse****? Texas has moved left every election for the past couple cycles. 

Yeah, Beto overperformed polls in 2018 IIRC. And literally no one thought he'd finish within two.

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2 minutes ago, mtutiger said:

Settling aside lean (IDK, I can buy there being a semi close race for this seat, Cruz is that polarizing), biggest issue is vote share... The Presidential race found 50-46 Trump, this poll found a 46-45 Allred result.

More undecideds, and you cannot assume they are all splitting evenly

It could also mean they are unhappy with the top of the ticket and will vote third party and/or leave blank but still vote Allred.

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