The Ronz Posted October 22, 2024 Posted October 22, 2024 Slotkin won MI-8 in 2020. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan#District_8 Quote
mtutiger Posted October 22, 2024 Posted October 22, 2024 45 minutes ago, Edman85 said: Silver's polling average. There is certainly convergence. This is 2020 for comparison: Going back to the MOE point, everything is extremely tight across *all* 7 states. To the point where polling across all 7 at this point in time could have a historic level of accuracy and still result in either Kamala or Trump sweeping. (Either case is more probable than 270-268, even) Just think the usefulness of all of these models begins to have issues when all of these states are so tight. And when the lack of quality polling is present such that we have Quote
Edman85 Posted October 22, 2024 Posted October 22, 2024 16 minutes ago, mtutiger said: Going back to the MOE point, everything is extremely tight across *all* 7 states. To the point where polling across all 7 at this point in time could have a historic level of accuracy and still result in either Kamala or Trump sweeping. (Either case is more probable than 270-268, even) Just think the usefulness of all of these models begins to have issues when all of these states are so tight. And when the lack of quality polling is present such that we have Agree, but i think that uncertainty is why they are showing 50/50 Quote
Hongbit Posted October 22, 2024 Posted October 22, 2024 The latest Fox News/Trump University poll for Nevada: Trump: 91% Stein : 4% Undecided: 3% Harris: 2% Quote
Mr.TaterSalad Posted October 22, 2024 Posted October 22, 2024 (edited) Calvin Johnson out campaigning for Harris in Detroit!!!!!!! Edited October 22, 2024 by Mr.TaterSalad Quote
Motown Bombers Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 I have no idea what he is saying. Quote
VegasTiger Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 Just saw a AARP poll o the news. They had Trump up by 1 point with "over 50" voters. I don't think we need to worry about Nevada. Quote
Motown Bombers Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 +1 on over 50 is not good at all for Trump. Quote
VegasTiger Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 3 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said: +1 on over 50 is not good at all for Trump. Indeed. Quote
oblong Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 33 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said: +1 on over 50 is not good at all for Trump. ****. Just realized that demo is me. 1 1 Quote
mtutiger Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 7 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said: Mein Fuhrer. It won't happen, but he really needs to come out on camera... Along with Esper and Mattis. 2 Quote
gehringer_2 Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 3 hours ago, The Ronz said: Slotkin won MI-8 in 2020. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan#District_8 correct, but we never saw what her statewide numbers would have been against a GOP candidate. Even If there are people in her old district that decided they like her and will vote for her and Trump that still doesn't tell us that much about why she should be that far ahead statewide. One Congressional district is only about 7% of the State. Quote
Motown Bombers Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 The big blue counties in Texas are seeing record turnout, and Harris is having a rally in Houston. Something could be brewing in Texas. Quote
mtutiger Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 (edited) 1 hour ago, Motown Bombers said: I've been wondering about the TX-15 thing for a while, particularly given that she's, at best, going to finish around 2020 Biden numbers in all likelihood with Hispanics. Not the first time they've talked about this district, curious what they see in it. Edited October 23, 2024 by mtutiger Quote
Tiger337 Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 34 minutes ago, mtutiger said: What on earth... I am so tired of this ****. So, tired of these losers making excuses for that absolute piece of trash. Quote
oblong Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 Texas is the one state I fear shenanigans if if looks like she will win it. Abbot will send in the national guard and try to get them to seize ballots on election night. There’s no way he will let it go blue. They will find some judges to let them do what they want. Quote
MichiganCardinal Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 2 minutes ago, oblong said: Texas is the one state I fear shenanigans if if looks like she will win it. Abbot will send in the national guard and try to get them to seize ballots on election night. There’s no way he will let it go blue. They will find some judges to let them do what they want. Yep. For pre-election interference and disenfranchisement, I worry about Georgia. But that damage is largely done. But actual straight faced **** you election theft? That screams Texas. Abbott will order election workers to stop counting in El Paso County (likely +300k for Harris), claiming without proof that there are tens of thousands of illegals voting there. Thus starts the extended legal battle and grass roots effort to delegitimize the whole thing. On the bright side, if it’s close enough in Texas that they have to cheat, she probably won’t need Texas. Quote
mtutiger Posted October 23, 2024 Posted October 23, 2024 (edited) 26 minutes ago, MichiganCardinal said: Yep. For pre-election interference and disenfranchisement, I worry about Georgia. But that damage is largely done. The Georgia Supreme Court ruling this morning blocking the new rules from the State Election Board would suggest reduced risk of shenanigans Edited October 23, 2024 by mtutiger Quote
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