2024 Presidential Election thread

[mtutiger]

9 minutes ago, Mr.TaterSalad said:

538 called them the most accurate pollster of 2020 though. There's something to that no?

They landed numbers in 2020 relatively accurately, but their methodology is suspect. And they have had a lot of issues in their own backyard (ie. Sao Paolo)

I'll take my chances with J. Ann Selzer over those guys. I'd say the same thing if Selzer gave us a Trump +15 poll

[mtutiger]

The Trump Campaign's response to Selzer

[Tiger337]

For what it's worth, Harris pulled ahead on Polymarket.  I think Trump was up by about 15% a couple of days ago.  Apparently that multi-millionaire in France put most of his cash on Trump and can't get out of it.  That's a shame.  

Edited November 3, 2024 by Tiger337

[mtutiger]

 

The Governor of Iowa feels the need to weigh in.

Edited November 3, 2024 by mtutiger

[Edman85]

"Wrong again?" Selzer is usually dead nuts on as if she has access to early voting totals.

[mtutiger]

13 minutes ago, Edman85 said:

"Wrong again?" Selzer is usually dead nuts on as if she has access to early voting totals.

Even beyond her, I think the fact that the Trump Leadership Team needed to issue a memo about this poll is such a red flag to me.

They know stuff that we aren't seeing. It's been obvious for a little while now.

[Edman85]

1 hour ago, 1776 said:

I hope, in a big way, a winner is declared very shortly after Tuesday. It would be great to have a winner by midnight Tuesday but I’m not banking on that. If this thing drags out…
 

Harris is more likely to win a quickly decided election, IMO.

I only say that because it is looking like Arizona, Nevada, and Alaska are all going to take days to finalize. And those are states Trump needs.

[Motown Bombers]

What are the odds Trump attacks Ann Selzer in a rally tomorrow?

[Motown Bombers]

[Tiger337]

6 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

What are the odds Trump attacks Ann Selzer in a rally tomorrow?

"Alka Selzer"

[LaceyLou]

Even though I always regret going to 'twitter,' I couldn't resist looking at it to see reaction to the Selzer poll. 

Did you know that it means she has sold out, and that this is part of massive election fraud, or at least an attempt to throw Drumpf off of his game? 

You learn something new every day.

[Motown Bombers]

Ann Seltzer is part of the deep state. 

[Tiger337]

Just saw Harris on SNL.  It wasn't an especially funny routine, but it didn't need to be. She seemed very comfortable.  This will only help her.  

[Motown Bombers]

Was that the real Tim Kaine on SNL? 

[LaceyLou]

Not sure how I missed it... did Drumpf really say that the job of auto workers was an easy one that could be done by a child? 

[Tiger337]

1 minute ago, LaceyLou said:

Not sure how I missed it... did Drumpf really say that the job of auto workers was an easy one that could be done by a child? 

yes

[LaceyLou]

Isn't that special....

[VegasTiger]

36 minutes ago, Motown Bombers said:

Was that the real Tim Kaine on SNL? 

Lol, proving the premise.

[chasfh]

10 hours ago, mtutiger said:

I drove past two farms in rural Kankakee/Will County IL earlier today with big Harris-Walz displays...

It's not epochal or anything, but something is going on.... people are willing to put it out there, stick their neck out in a way they didn't previously.

I too was surprised that I saw as many Harris Walz signs as I have in rural states that Trump already has sown up. Not as many as Trump, of course, but in the places where I saw them, I would think it would rile the neighbors.

[chasfh]

7 hours ago, Motown Bombers said:

Was that the real Tim Kaine on SNL? 

I saw a Kaine for Senate spot while I was in Bristol, TNVA, so he's got some skin in the game. Couldn't hurt Kamala in VA to have him on the show, either.

[Edman85]

8 hours ago, Motown Bombers said:

Was that the real Tim Kaine on SNL? 

The remember the names bit was great. Good spoof of online culture warriors.

Edited November 3, 2024 by Edman85

[oblong]

7 hours ago, VegasTiger said:

Lol, proving the premise.

I forgot his name too.  
 

In 2016 the episode before the election had the famous Trump voter black jeopardy sketch.  Tom Hanks played Doug. I got the same vibes.  

[oblong]

Kamala did fine and her performance will be indicative of why she will win, if she does. Just the smile itself. It didn’t come across as politician fake. It’s refreshing.  People are tired of Trump and his negativity. 

[Motor City Sonics]

8 hours ago, LaceyLou said:

Not sure how I missed it... did Drumpf really say that the job of auto workers was an easy one that could be done by a child? 

Well   A - that should be plastered in ads all over the telly in these last 2 days

B - He'll probably roll back child labor laws if given the chance like that troll in Arkansas did. 

[Motown Bombers]

Looks like we have a real MAGA in the ranks.