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Where Do Things End With Vlad? (h/t romad1)


chasfh

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25 minutes ago, romad1 said:

Noclador is thinking the moves are starting to creep toward the start of this thing. 

One thing with an odd odor to me in all this Romad - doesn't it seems odd to pick mid-winter in Europe to start a major armor blitzkrieg? The SO was just reading a so-called analysis piece that said - "oh yes winter is perfect,  they can cross frozen rivers!" I'm sorry but I'd like to see the river frozen hard enough to hold up a 60 ton main battle tank.

Edited by gehringer_2
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1 hour ago, gehringer_2 said:

One thing with an odd odor to me in all this Romad - doesn't it seems odd to pick mid-winter in Europe to start a major armor blitzkrieg? The SO was just reading a so-called analysis piece that said - "oh yes winter is perfect,  they can cross frozen rivers!" I'm sorry but I'd like to see the river frozen hard enough to hold up a 60 ton main battle tank.

You would think that.  However, its actually notable how much hard packed ground of winter figures into the Russian big wins throughout history.  Stalingrad was caused by a Operation Uranus in late 1942.  The Red Army saved Moscow in winter 1941 because they shipped their Eastern Siberia army to Moscow via the railway.   The Red Army was much more foot-borne in those days but having hard cold ground mattered as they were trying to move large forces at key vulnerable spots in the German lines.

The traditional campaign seasons in the steppe are Winter when the ground is frozen and the hottest, driest part of the Summer.  The muddy season which starts sooner than Vladdie would like would purportedly be a hinderance....except its modern times and all the roads have tarmac now. 

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1 hour ago, gehringer_2 said:

One thing with an odd odor to me in all this Romad - doesn't it seems odd to pick mid-winter in Europe to start a major armor blitzkrieg? The SO was just reading a so-called analysis piece that said - "oh yes winter is perfect,  they can cross frozen rivers!" I'm sorry but I'd like to see the river frozen hard enough to hold up a 60 ton main battle tank.

As for crossing rivers.  I don't actually know how likely that is.  The rivers in Ukraine are the good kind that flow North to South which means they don't necessarily freeze up.  Rivers in Siberia have the bad habit of flowing South to North which causes all sorts of swampiness when all that river backs up because of ice.

However, having read all that.  I see that the Dnipro does often freeze over.  Regardless, the Russian Army have bridging equipment. 

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2 minutes ago, gehringer_2 said:

Ha!

Forecast for Kyiv next week is all 30-40F. Maybe mother nature gets a work in here along with the pols.

He is dying to do this.  I think he's annoyed that the Olympics might be a problem for him and make his bank (Xi) unhappy.

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